In Alaska, a project that could determine the fate of a large region in the south is currently being hotly debated. Called the Pebble Project (for the Pebble Partnership that owns the mineral rights) it is a mining project that is still waiting for approval, since the mineral rights were first obtained in 2001 by the initial member of the Pebble Partnership (Klare, Ch.5). The claim, located near Iliamna Lake, is possibly the biggest gold mine and the second largest copper mine in the US, as well as containing respectable amounts of silver and the rare element molybdenum. However, it is located within a very sensitive ecologic region, with major watersheds and hundreds of rivers and streams moving through the area. But the concern about these waters being contaminated is more specific than the usual concern about downstream contamination and ecological poisoning: the region is home to the most prolific salmon fishery in the world. These fish are a keystone species for the region, being the staple diet for many creatures, as well as many Native American communities that rely on them to provide a large portion of their food supply each year. They are also important commercially- 12,500 people are employed in the $100 million per year industry. If toxins from the mining project were to enter this system, even if the fish didn't experience mass die-offs, the toxins would become concentrated in their bodies and make them unsuitable for safe consumption, still managing to ruin the lives and livelihoods of all who depend on them. With these considerations in mind, the resistance to the plan becomes easier to understand, despite the payload that would be taken from the ground and the jobs that it would generate.
The controversies aren't limited to just the nature of the project either. Currently, an independent panel set up by the Keystone Group is supposed to be partaking of a review of data gathered by the company that wants to do the work, but already two members have left the review panel. One left voluntarily, due to personal problems with the process as it was taking place, and the fact that they were supposed to perform the review based on conditions in the region, and without a proposed plan for them to consider in the process. The other was "excused" from the panel, due to a paper he had helped co-write on the fisheries and possible impacts of mining on the region, and this made it seem that he would be biased during the review process. While the second reviewer, Daniel Schindler, believes that both sides of the debate need to be analyzed for scientific accuracy, his contributions to research about the ecosystems of the research were viewed as "acts of advocacy." While it may be easy to see how the connection to be made, the fact that he holds both sides of the debate to standards of scientific accuracy should be enough to make him a valuable member of a review panel, and the fact that he has done research on the matter should support that claim, instead of branding him as being a sympathizer with one side. The one other matter for consideration is that if a plan for the mine had been submitted along with the data for the region (supplied by the Pebble Project) as the first reviewer would have liked, he may have been able to offer specific input based on his previous research.
Even with the possible benefits that the mine could offer to the region, there are many who believe that the impact would be too great to be offset by the benefits, especially since they will last much longer than the jobs that will be supposedly created by its activity. Many are worried not only what will happen to the communities that already populate the region, but about the generations who will come after, and be the ones who have to suffer most for any mistakes made at this time. As was already mentioned, most people who live in the region rely on the land for their food, since getting food delivered is too expensive for the local economies to handle, and many have learned the skills to do so effectively enough that they can fish, hunt, and gather resources to sustain themselves and their families. There are some who do it due to circumstances, and others who do it by choice, and probably some who do it with a mix of the two stimuli. But if a large industrial project were to be inserted into the environment, there would no longer be an ecosystem capable of sustaining these enterprising spirits, as game would most likely be frightened off, and the land would be changed so that various plants would be harder to find. And if the mine isn't able to live up to its promise to maintain the project in such a way that no contamination of the surroundings occurs, a promise that has never come to fruition by any mine that has similar conditions to the Pebble Project (even with claims that technology has advanced enough for them to do so), the fish and streams will be forever changed in such a way that the local culture and ecosystem will be irreparably damaged.
Perhaps the only way for this particular project to be done safely would be to develop a completely novel method of resource extraction that takes away the need for tailing ponds. Perhaps either tailings could be treated and recycled as the process proceeds, simultaneously reducing the quantity of material needed and the risk that comes with having ponds of toxic waste sitting out in the open. Or another method of removing the target resource from the ores can be developed, that wouldn't rely as much on chemical extraction. Whatever the case, I don't think that the mining should be done as most projects are done. The people and ecosystem of the region should not be put at such high risk to satisfy the greed of a world that has managed to squander a good portion of its resources when they could have found ways to reclaim them for reuse, and thus reduce the need to find ever increasing quantities of raw materials. While it may not be easy, the people of the region have a means to be self-sustainable, which in many ways is a greater boon to their existence than having a high per capita income. Those from outside shouldn't be allowed to take that from them for the sake of temporary (and to some degree, unneeded) boosts in production.
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
Thursday, October 25, 2012
A (very) Short Look at the Evolution of Rockets
Rockets are pretty awesome. Whether it be the little bottle rockets that can be set off on various holidays, or the super-massive Saturn V rocket that was able to bring the US astronauts to the moon in 1969, they are capable of massive outputs of energy in short time spans. However, the main interest that most governments have in rockets isn't typically science or impressive light shows- it is the capability that they have as weapons. Although, it is perhaps more accurate to say that the interest lies in their capability as weapon delivery systems.
The earliest known use of rockets in warfare is the conflict between Mysore (a region of India) and Britain during the mid-18th century. While there is the strong likelihood that the Chinese, having made most of the earliest known rockets and explosives, found a way to use a rocket in warfare in the time between the early 9th century when they discovered black powder and mid-18th, this was the first incident that produced a significant reaction in the western world. After encountering hammered iron rockets with sharp implements being launched at their forces during various battles, the British took some of the rockets back to England to reverse engineer, and then improve with a "vigorous research and development programme" for use in modern warfare. They improved the range to make them capable of greater distance than most cannons in use at the time, besides being lighter and easier to aim and maneuver. While accuracy took longer to catch up, as more design modifications were made, most early rockets had more of an impact on morale against enemies unfamiliar with the strange new projectiles. But sometime after the Battle of Waterloo, the rocket fell out of use again as a military interest.
In 1926, Dr. Robert Goddard of Massachusetts performed the successful launch of the first liquid propellant rocket, an invention of his own design. Much of his research was critical in the development of space-capable rockets, but at the time, that was still a distant dream; especially since WWII was beginning. Before the time came when such information would have been kept from reaching Germany, he gained a following there for his work, which was probably used in the development of the V-2 rocket, the "the only operational ballistic missile used during World War II." These rockets were more advanced than most of Goddard's designs, being made for significant range, accuracy, and delivery of a large explosive payload, capable of "leveling a city block." They were actually guided missiles, which is fascinating due to the fact that the guidance system was mechanical in nature, instead of computerized. The guidance system was mostly composed of gyroscopes connected to the axial rudders, as well as the fuel system to control how and when burn was shut off on the final approach to a target. The fuel used was ethanol and liquid oxygen, which were mixed as the rocket flew its course. This generated the work needed to lift the rocket (initially weighing around 28,000 lbs) to an altitude of 52-60 miles in less than 2 minutes. After that, it fell at least somewhere near the intended target- often not close enough to do damage to military targets, but that wasn't really the point. It was part of a series of "Vengeance Weapons" that were meant to damage enemy morale and damage civilian targets. When the war was over, various key members of the development team were captured, and were put to work for Britain, Russia, and the United States.
One of the key individuals captured was Wernher von Braun. He was the driving force behind the development of the majority of rockets developed in Germany during the period of the war. His interest in rockets began as a young boy, with an interest in rocket cars and a treatise on the concept of using rockets to reach space. Years later, his V-2 rocket succeeded in getting most of the way there, before turning back down and fulfilling its destructive purpose. While he was a member of the Nazi party, and even a certain political faction of the SS, his attitude toward the party and what they did (both in general and with his work) is largely unknown, except from his own accounts. Regardless, he was an individual of enough importance that agents carrying out Operation Paperclip scrubbed his record of his Nazi Affiliation so that they could bring him back to the US. He then went on to modify the V-2 rocket design to create the Redstone rocket series for the United States to use as a nuclear payload delivery system, as well as other models that were used for more scientific purposes, like testing high altitude atmospheric conditions. While he would also produce many of the military rocket systems used during the cold war, one of his greatest achievements was the Saturn V rocket system. The largest rocket made to date, it was a liquid propelled rocket that served to send man all the way to the moon. It was truly a marvel, especially since the incredibly complex design of the engine never failed: "Perhaps most amazing of all facts about the Saturn V is that each of its 12 main Saturn V launches was successful. Two of them suffered in-flight problems including engine cutoffs, but the on-board computers were able to compensate, resulting in a successful mission." Say what you will about the man, and about the purposes behind the space program, but to make such a complex design work so reliably over a number of test flights is truly a feat that is undeniably impressive.
Over the years, rocket technology has advanced to the point that we now have guided missiles capable of hitting a target with pinpoint accuracy from miles away. But we also still have the toys and display rockets that were initially made. While all need to be handled with caution and care, their spectacle and appeal hasn't worn off- though what kind of appeal has changed with their evolution. In that regard, rockets are kind of like wild animals: fascinating, and dangerous to handle. To a certain degree, I can't picture the world without rockets, so maybe, despite what most large ones are used for these days, the world is still better off with their existence. If nothing else, they have supplied some amazing and surprisingly profound imagery.
The earliest known use of rockets in warfare is the conflict between Mysore (a region of India) and Britain during the mid-18th century. While there is the strong likelihood that the Chinese, having made most of the earliest known rockets and explosives, found a way to use a rocket in warfare in the time between the early 9th century when they discovered black powder and mid-18th, this was the first incident that produced a significant reaction in the western world. After encountering hammered iron rockets with sharp implements being launched at their forces during various battles, the British took some of the rockets back to England to reverse engineer, and then improve with a "vigorous research and development programme" for use in modern warfare. They improved the range to make them capable of greater distance than most cannons in use at the time, besides being lighter and easier to aim and maneuver. While accuracy took longer to catch up, as more design modifications were made, most early rockets had more of an impact on morale against enemies unfamiliar with the strange new projectiles. But sometime after the Battle of Waterloo, the rocket fell out of use again as a military interest.
In 1926, Dr. Robert Goddard of Massachusetts performed the successful launch of the first liquid propellant rocket, an invention of his own design. Much of his research was critical in the development of space-capable rockets, but at the time, that was still a distant dream; especially since WWII was beginning. Before the time came when such information would have been kept from reaching Germany, he gained a following there for his work, which was probably used in the development of the V-2 rocket, the "the only operational ballistic missile used during World War II." These rockets were more advanced than most of Goddard's designs, being made for significant range, accuracy, and delivery of a large explosive payload, capable of "leveling a city block." They were actually guided missiles, which is fascinating due to the fact that the guidance system was mechanical in nature, instead of computerized. The guidance system was mostly composed of gyroscopes connected to the axial rudders, as well as the fuel system to control how and when burn was shut off on the final approach to a target. The fuel used was ethanol and liquid oxygen, which were mixed as the rocket flew its course. This generated the work needed to lift the rocket (initially weighing around 28,000 lbs) to an altitude of 52-60 miles in less than 2 minutes. After that, it fell at least somewhere near the intended target- often not close enough to do damage to military targets, but that wasn't really the point. It was part of a series of "Vengeance Weapons" that were meant to damage enemy morale and damage civilian targets. When the war was over, various key members of the development team were captured, and were put to work for Britain, Russia, and the United States.
One of the key individuals captured was Wernher von Braun. He was the driving force behind the development of the majority of rockets developed in Germany during the period of the war. His interest in rockets began as a young boy, with an interest in rocket cars and a treatise on the concept of using rockets to reach space. Years later, his V-2 rocket succeeded in getting most of the way there, before turning back down and fulfilling its destructive purpose. While he was a member of the Nazi party, and even a certain political faction of the SS, his attitude toward the party and what they did (both in general and with his work) is largely unknown, except from his own accounts. Regardless, he was an individual of enough importance that agents carrying out Operation Paperclip scrubbed his record of his Nazi Affiliation so that they could bring him back to the US. He then went on to modify the V-2 rocket design to create the Redstone rocket series for the United States to use as a nuclear payload delivery system, as well as other models that were used for more scientific purposes, like testing high altitude atmospheric conditions. While he would also produce many of the military rocket systems used during the cold war, one of his greatest achievements was the Saturn V rocket system. The largest rocket made to date, it was a liquid propelled rocket that served to send man all the way to the moon. It was truly a marvel, especially since the incredibly complex design of the engine never failed: "Perhaps most amazing of all facts about the Saturn V is that each of its 12 main Saturn V launches was successful. Two of them suffered in-flight problems including engine cutoffs, but the on-board computers were able to compensate, resulting in a successful mission." Say what you will about the man, and about the purposes behind the space program, but to make such a complex design work so reliably over a number of test flights is truly a feat that is undeniably impressive.
Over the years, rocket technology has advanced to the point that we now have guided missiles capable of hitting a target with pinpoint accuracy from miles away. But we also still have the toys and display rockets that were initially made. While all need to be handled with caution and care, their spectacle and appeal hasn't worn off- though what kind of appeal has changed with their evolution. In that regard, rockets are kind of like wild animals: fascinating, and dangerous to handle. To a certain degree, I can't picture the world without rockets, so maybe, despite what most large ones are used for these days, the world is still better off with their existence. If nothing else, they have supplied some amazing and surprisingly profound imagery.
Monday, October 22, 2012
What is the Alaskan Permanent Fund Corporation?
I have known for some time that Alaskan residents are eligible to receive a check every year that they live there, somehow connected to the oil production of the state. After reading a bit about how the development of oil in Alaska began and developed, I somehow had the topic pop up and tweak my interest enough that I decided to do some more research into the topic.
First and foremost, the checks are dividends, payed out by the semi-independent Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation. The corporation was established to manage the Alaska Permanent Fund, which was established by a state vote in 1976 in response to the oil boom that had started on the North Slope region a few years prior. Part of the reason that the Fund is not completely state owned is that "Many citizens ...believed that the legislature too quickly and too inefficiently spent the $900 million bonus the state got in 1969 after leasing out the oil fields. This belief spurred a desire to put some oil revenues out of direct political control." So, with the money from the oil being put into the fund, some was being re-invested into various assets with safe returns, while a majority is "split between inflation-proofing, operating expenses, and the annual Permanent Fund Dividend." This dividend is not a constant value: it changes every year based on the current status of the Fund and how many people there are to distribute it amongst. However, it is distributed to everyone- absolutely everyone- living in the state, making it truly equal rights entitlement. Parents do have the position to control the check of their children, but a responsible parent could save it for something like their college education when they get older. Since the total payout to a single person since the Fund began distributing the dividends in 1982 would amount to $34,243. 41, that amount would be perfectly capable of paying for a sizable portion of higher education.
Besides the money put into the permanent fund every year, the oil returns to the state have allowed Alaska to eliminate most state taxes (petroleum is only un-eliminated tax; federal taxes still take effect), while also expanding public services. Granted, Alaska has a grand total of about 700,000 people living there, and many of them in non-urban areas, reducing the financial strain of sustaining public services- though many living in rural areas depend on government aid for monetary income. Also, with much of Alaska being relatively undeveloped, it doesn't have to spend as much on roads and electrical grids. With these considerations, it becomes easier to see how the Fund is currently valued at about $42.5 billion, despite the increased spending and reduced tax revenue. All of it is money intended for the current and future residents of the state to some degree or another, as a safeguard against the day that the oil reserves are depleted. And that will be a day of significant changes in the region, considering that the oil and gas industry in the region is both directly and indirectly connected to the employment of about a third of the state's work force.
The impact that the dividend has on the economy is varied. Some use it to settle finances, others use it as an opportunity to get something nice with money that isn't part of their standard budget. In some ways, it's similar to tax returns, except everyone gets the same amount. While I would debate calling it a "basic income guarantee," since it is a single payment once a year, it can make a difference in a local economy, especially if the average lifestyle is low- income subsistence living. However, the average Alaskan views it less as a sudden windfall of free money, and more like a paycheck after so many years. With the recent decrease in the value of the dividend, most will need to put more consideration into what they do with the money, especially if they intend to have it help them through the winter. The trend has been on the horizon, and with increased costs of living from an already expensive base cost (most supplies have to be shipped into the state, and gas is $6 a gallon there), the money may be better used by some in taking time away from the region during the harsh winter months.
Over the years, the dividend payouts, despite their regularly changing amounts, have played a role in the economy of the region. There has been some research done before into the role it plays in the economic landscape of the region, and while certain effects and personal impacts are noticeable, especially in communities that don't typically trade with a money economy, the effect gets washed out in regions that are more urbanized, and have concentrated populations. Although, some professions have had the dividend become a notable percentage of their income, meaning that it does provide a boon for the average worker. Meanwhile, sales outlets often capitalize on the dividend payout by holding sales, especially since the payouts come at the early start of the holiday shopping season. So, while the effect is mixed, that is probably for the best. If everyone did the same thing with the money, the economy of the region would probably be worse off.
So, while the source of the money is subject to some apprehension by some, the beneficial effect it has had in the far northern state is not. Even though the effect is mixed, and more felt by some than others, it has provided a boost to the region that has helped keep Alaska alive. It is only too bad that the rest of the country is mostly going into debt, instead of being able to generate enough surplus to enact a similar program with some other main resource. Perhaps if it had happened long ago in other states, they would have been able to reduce their modern day debt, though probably not to the extent that Alaska has managed. Oh well. No sense dwelling on "what ifs." The dividend provides an interesting economic environment in the state, and perhaps they will provide a template for something that will come later.
First and foremost, the checks are dividends, payed out by the semi-independent Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation. The corporation was established to manage the Alaska Permanent Fund, which was established by a state vote in 1976 in response to the oil boom that had started on the North Slope region a few years prior. Part of the reason that the Fund is not completely state owned is that "Many citizens ...believed that the legislature too quickly and too inefficiently spent the $900 million bonus the state got in 1969 after leasing out the oil fields. This belief spurred a desire to put some oil revenues out of direct political control." So, with the money from the oil being put into the fund, some was being re-invested into various assets with safe returns, while a majority is "split between inflation-proofing, operating expenses, and the annual Permanent Fund Dividend." This dividend is not a constant value: it changes every year based on the current status of the Fund and how many people there are to distribute it amongst. However, it is distributed to everyone- absolutely everyone- living in the state, making it truly equal rights entitlement. Parents do have the position to control the check of their children, but a responsible parent could save it for something like their college education when they get older. Since the total payout to a single person since the Fund began distributing the dividends in 1982 would amount to $34,243. 41, that amount would be perfectly capable of paying for a sizable portion of higher education.
Besides the money put into the permanent fund every year, the oil returns to the state have allowed Alaska to eliminate most state taxes (petroleum is only un-eliminated tax; federal taxes still take effect), while also expanding public services. Granted, Alaska has a grand total of about 700,000 people living there, and many of them in non-urban areas, reducing the financial strain of sustaining public services- though many living in rural areas depend on government aid for monetary income. Also, with much of Alaska being relatively undeveloped, it doesn't have to spend as much on roads and electrical grids. With these considerations, it becomes easier to see how the Fund is currently valued at about $42.5 billion, despite the increased spending and reduced tax revenue. All of it is money intended for the current and future residents of the state to some degree or another, as a safeguard against the day that the oil reserves are depleted. And that will be a day of significant changes in the region, considering that the oil and gas industry in the region is both directly and indirectly connected to the employment of about a third of the state's work force.
The impact that the dividend has on the economy is varied. Some use it to settle finances, others use it as an opportunity to get something nice with money that isn't part of their standard budget. In some ways, it's similar to tax returns, except everyone gets the same amount. While I would debate calling it a "basic income guarantee," since it is a single payment once a year, it can make a difference in a local economy, especially if the average lifestyle is low- income subsistence living. However, the average Alaskan views it less as a sudden windfall of free money, and more like a paycheck after so many years. With the recent decrease in the value of the dividend, most will need to put more consideration into what they do with the money, especially if they intend to have it help them through the winter. The trend has been on the horizon, and with increased costs of living from an already expensive base cost (most supplies have to be shipped into the state, and gas is $6 a gallon there), the money may be better used by some in taking time away from the region during the harsh winter months.
Over the years, the dividend payouts, despite their regularly changing amounts, have played a role in the economy of the region. There has been some research done before into the role it plays in the economic landscape of the region, and while certain effects and personal impacts are noticeable, especially in communities that don't typically trade with a money economy, the effect gets washed out in regions that are more urbanized, and have concentrated populations. Although, some professions have had the dividend become a notable percentage of their income, meaning that it does provide a boon for the average worker. Meanwhile, sales outlets often capitalize on the dividend payout by holding sales, especially since the payouts come at the early start of the holiday shopping season. So, while the effect is mixed, that is probably for the best. If everyone did the same thing with the money, the economy of the region would probably be worse off.
So, while the source of the money is subject to some apprehension by some, the beneficial effect it has had in the far northern state is not. Even though the effect is mixed, and more felt by some than others, it has provided a boost to the region that has helped keep Alaska alive. It is only too bad that the rest of the country is mostly going into debt, instead of being able to generate enough surplus to enact a similar program with some other main resource. Perhaps if it had happened long ago in other states, they would have been able to reduce their modern day debt, though probably not to the extent that Alaska has managed. Oh well. No sense dwelling on "what ifs." The dividend provides an interesting economic environment in the state, and perhaps they will provide a template for something that will come later.
Thursday, October 18, 2012
Fight the Power!... But First, Think Enough to See It's Actions
At the beginning of this week, our class was discussing regulations and the intertwining of government and business that has occurred over time, as well as the process of conditioning and legitimization that goes along with it. The process to keep the powerful in power, to make the masses more docile in the hopes that they won't question anything, has become easier for them through the decades, partially through kids being taught from a young age, or indirectly through indoctrinated parents, and with the evolution of media. Though subliminal messaging can be debated in the form that is typically displayed in science fiction, it is definitely a real thing, with certain morals and messages being conveyed into the populace through advertising, movie and TV themes, and presentation of information in such a way that it is interpreted in a specific way if one doesn't pause long enough to thank about what is being presented. Hidden hypnotic messages aren't as effective as creating a way of life that the consumer wants to emulate for some reason or another. Indoctrination is easier when the subject is willingly converted... cue reference to religion, and let it pass to avoid a whole different tangent. Part of what makes it difficult is that sometimes, channels of resistance are displayed through the same mediums, meaning that if one isn't aware enough, a clever power can disguise their program as part of the opposition, while finding ways to try and either make the consumers of it either useless or converts. Certain types of greenwashing are examples of this, where environmentally destructive groups try to re-brand or make propaganda and try to convince people that they are actually helpful, or that the groups trying to oppose them are the bad guys in some way. Even if those exposed don't switch sides, people who fall for this tactic are prone to stopping activity due to feeling like they have become part of the problem instead of the solution. But problems like this aren't the greatest threat from oppressive powers.
Another point that was discussed was the size of the US penitentiary system, especially due to the ways that laws are designed to keep certain groups and subsets in prison disproportionately. I happened to watch an episode of The Daily Show that featured an interview (it's in two parts, if you want to watch the whole thing) with Eugene Jarecki that covered many of the same topics that were covered during the class discussion, though a bit more focused on the drug war (which he stated as having failed) and prison system. They covered how our prison system is the largest in the world, even exceeding China in number of prisoners. One of the parts I found fascinating was the fact that crack cocaine and powder cocaine, which are different forms of the SAME DRUG, are sentenced differently in the penal system- by a ratio of about 100-1 initially, only recently reduced to about 18-1. The reason? From a clear, outside perspective, completely arbitrary. However, the main difference between the two forms is the demographic of the consumers- poorer individuals (especially urban blacks) are associated with the cheaper "crack" form, while the more affluent are the ones prone to buying the powdered form. The different treatment of the issue is appalling. And then, while it might be a debatable point, the fact that prisons are so full due to a combination of certain incentives for cops to make arrests and a huge industry behind the prison system that makes its money due to the suffering and incarceration of others (though some do deserve it) seems like a sort of moral failing, though whether blame falls more on corporate greed or political favoritism is vague. Just because we need a penal system doesn't mean it has to be one of the biggest and most heavily supported systems in place. Sure there is crime, but that doesn't mean that we need to define more actions as criminal to expand how much we use it.
The system is not limited to services rendered, however. Most know about the way that big oil is so ingrained into politics, that promises of a green transition sound emptier every time. Also, the military-industrial complex, which creates a system where companies that produce arms and armaments to supply the armed forces. In fact, congress's role in the matter is to make most of the budget decisions for the military's purchases, and they apparently have a role in some of the purchases. Some members of congress are trying to push for the refurbishments of tanks that the Army doesn't even want, but this push isn't based on actual defense. It's based on money- either money given to the congressmen as bribes, the concern for jobs in the constituency for manufacturing employees, or the concern about future production capacity if the plant is shut down in the interim. It just goes one to show how the industrial interests are weighted too heavily on the scales of decision makers, even if the recipient of the product has little to no interest in obtaining it. The industry officials don't have the interests of their employees or even their clients at heart when it comes to their primary goal of making more money than they did last year. The other factors are secondary to this goal, more side-effects of their efforts. Individual congressmen and women probably have different views on the way that this situation has played out, but even those who disapprove are relatively silent on the matter.
In the end, the question remains: How will it all end? Will there be some sort of uprising, a resistance to being manipulated and controlled by those who don't have any interest in the general well-being of the land and people? Or will they one day have complete control over our lives and resources? I suppose there is also the third option of things hovering around the level they are at now, but I'm inclined to think that we are heading for some kind of breaking point, and however it turns out, the transition will not be pleasant.
Another point that was discussed was the size of the US penitentiary system, especially due to the ways that laws are designed to keep certain groups and subsets in prison disproportionately. I happened to watch an episode of The Daily Show that featured an interview (it's in two parts, if you want to watch the whole thing) with Eugene Jarecki that covered many of the same topics that were covered during the class discussion, though a bit more focused on the drug war (which he stated as having failed) and prison system. They covered how our prison system is the largest in the world, even exceeding China in number of prisoners. One of the parts I found fascinating was the fact that crack cocaine and powder cocaine, which are different forms of the SAME DRUG, are sentenced differently in the penal system- by a ratio of about 100-1 initially, only recently reduced to about 18-1. The reason? From a clear, outside perspective, completely arbitrary. However, the main difference between the two forms is the demographic of the consumers- poorer individuals (especially urban blacks) are associated with the cheaper "crack" form, while the more affluent are the ones prone to buying the powdered form. The different treatment of the issue is appalling. And then, while it might be a debatable point, the fact that prisons are so full due to a combination of certain incentives for cops to make arrests and a huge industry behind the prison system that makes its money due to the suffering and incarceration of others (though some do deserve it) seems like a sort of moral failing, though whether blame falls more on corporate greed or political favoritism is vague. Just because we need a penal system doesn't mean it has to be one of the biggest and most heavily supported systems in place. Sure there is crime, but that doesn't mean that we need to define more actions as criminal to expand how much we use it.
The system is not limited to services rendered, however. Most know about the way that big oil is so ingrained into politics, that promises of a green transition sound emptier every time. Also, the military-industrial complex, which creates a system where companies that produce arms and armaments to supply the armed forces. In fact, congress's role in the matter is to make most of the budget decisions for the military's purchases, and they apparently have a role in some of the purchases. Some members of congress are trying to push for the refurbishments of tanks that the Army doesn't even want, but this push isn't based on actual defense. It's based on money- either money given to the congressmen as bribes, the concern for jobs in the constituency for manufacturing employees, or the concern about future production capacity if the plant is shut down in the interim. It just goes one to show how the industrial interests are weighted too heavily on the scales of decision makers, even if the recipient of the product has little to no interest in obtaining it. The industry officials don't have the interests of their employees or even their clients at heart when it comes to their primary goal of making more money than they did last year. The other factors are secondary to this goal, more side-effects of their efforts. Individual congressmen and women probably have different views on the way that this situation has played out, but even those who disapprove are relatively silent on the matter.
In the end, the question remains: How will it all end? Will there be some sort of uprising, a resistance to being manipulated and controlled by those who don't have any interest in the general well-being of the land and people? Or will they one day have complete control over our lives and resources? I suppose there is also the third option of things hovering around the level they are at now, but I'm inclined to think that we are heading for some kind of breaking point, and however it turns out, the transition will not be pleasant.
Sunday, October 14, 2012
The Sustained Damage to Nigeria
Nigeria has been turned into arguably one of the most oil-polluted regions in the world over the course of the 50 years it has been active as a oil-producing region. It has gotten so bad, that an "assessment, commissioned by the Nigerian government and funded by
Shell, concluded that restoration of the area could take up to 30 years,
cost $1 billion and become the largest cleanup operation in history." Considering the source of the study, since both of those parties have a vested interest in the oil industry of the country, this statement may need to be taken with a grain of salt. However, the damage is hard to deny, and the effects are being felt now perhaps more than ever.
Oil prospectors from foreign lands first struck oil deposits in Nigeria in 1956. Over the years, the region has been highly subjected to damage from the production and manufacture of oil; from spills, to illegal refineries that refine crude oil in a manner that releases large quantities of pollutants into the environment. The spills, according to a 2001 review, were as follows: "fifty percent (50%) of oil spills is due to corrosion [of transport pipes], twenty eight percent (28%) to sabotage and twenty one percent (21%) to oil production operations. One percent (1%) of oil spills is due to engineering drills, inability to effectively control oil wells, failure of machines, and inadequate care in loading and unloading oil vessels." The review also lists oil spills since 1976, with more than 100 spill incidents yearly (most spills in a year was 515 in 1994), and quantities of oil released into the environment exceeding 7,000 barrels a year (the highest quantity at the time of the listing was 489,294.75 barrels in a year). However, Shell asserts that the majority of spills are due to sabotage and theft. I am inclined to believe that they are simply stating that based on how much oil they are losing, not how much is known to have been released into the environment. Because, if you really think about it, someone who is sabotaging a pipe to steal oil is going to try and make sure they obtain most or all of the oil that they steal, not simply dump it or let it continue to leak after they are finished.
The illegal oil trade in Nigeria is highly volatile as well. The work is dangerous, with crude refineries for crude oil giving off toxins that can make the person working the still sick (and those exposed from releases as well), aside from being at risk of injured by an explosion of natural gas waste products. This practice is also showing very little sign of being halted; military personnel, which are supposed to be trying to prevent such activities, are easily bribed to let it slide. Meanwhile, Shell is eager to try and pin the majority of the spill damage on such activities, since they are by nature undocumented. But they so often change the numbers regarding production in the region that it becomes difficult to get a clear figure on the matter from the region at all. Their offshore spills can't be so easily pawned off, but they can easily blame inland incidents on the locals.
All of the pollution in the region is making things more difficult than ever before in the region. Fisheries and croplands are steadily being degraded to the point where food cannot be obtained from them. And while one would think that the government would use its power to make the oil companies take better preventative measures and a greater role in the repairs, government members get the majority of their money from the oil industry, and that is where most of the money in the economy stays. The people hardly ever see any sort of direct benefit from the oil industry working in their land, and even if they did, would it outweigh the detriments?
Currently, a new development is taking place in the matter. Nigerian farmers are suing Shell in the homeland of the company, instead of in Nigeria. With some help from the Dutch branch of the environmental group Friends of the Earth, they are taking the Dutch company to court in the Netherlands, an unprecedented move, in the hopes that they will get compensation for the damage that has been caused so far and for clean up operations to be carried out. Shell is planning to base its defense on the illegal activities that damage pipelines and refineries, to escape liability in the matter. They claim to have cleaned up three locations that were damaged by spills, but if the chart on spills from the 2001 article is still relevant to current trends, that is probably only a fraction of what has actually been released into the environment. A ruling is expected early next year.
Overall, the Nigerian situation has devolved into an unpleasant system of corruption, violence, and environmental degradation. If any number of factors had been carried out differently, perhaps the situation would not be so dire: if the government had focused more on the people instead of the revenue, if the company had taken better preventative measures, or if they had taken a stance that would benefit the people more than the governing bodies, the situation would possibly be beneficial to the people of the region. But then again, considering that this story is typical of such oil prospecting in third world areas, there wasn't really much hope for such forethought. Hopefully, things will get better one day. Its just too bad that the damage will be around for longer than the company, in all likelihood.
Oil prospectors from foreign lands first struck oil deposits in Nigeria in 1956. Over the years, the region has been highly subjected to damage from the production and manufacture of oil; from spills, to illegal refineries that refine crude oil in a manner that releases large quantities of pollutants into the environment. The spills, according to a 2001 review, were as follows: "fifty percent (50%) of oil spills is due to corrosion [of transport pipes], twenty eight percent (28%) to sabotage and twenty one percent (21%) to oil production operations. One percent (1%) of oil spills is due to engineering drills, inability to effectively control oil wells, failure of machines, and inadequate care in loading and unloading oil vessels." The review also lists oil spills since 1976, with more than 100 spill incidents yearly (most spills in a year was 515 in 1994), and quantities of oil released into the environment exceeding 7,000 barrels a year (the highest quantity at the time of the listing was 489,294.75 barrels in a year). However, Shell asserts that the majority of spills are due to sabotage and theft. I am inclined to believe that they are simply stating that based on how much oil they are losing, not how much is known to have been released into the environment. Because, if you really think about it, someone who is sabotaging a pipe to steal oil is going to try and make sure they obtain most or all of the oil that they steal, not simply dump it or let it continue to leak after they are finished.
The illegal oil trade in Nigeria is highly volatile as well. The work is dangerous, with crude refineries for crude oil giving off toxins that can make the person working the still sick (and those exposed from releases as well), aside from being at risk of injured by an explosion of natural gas waste products. This practice is also showing very little sign of being halted; military personnel, which are supposed to be trying to prevent such activities, are easily bribed to let it slide. Meanwhile, Shell is eager to try and pin the majority of the spill damage on such activities, since they are by nature undocumented. But they so often change the numbers regarding production in the region that it becomes difficult to get a clear figure on the matter from the region at all. Their offshore spills can't be so easily pawned off, but they can easily blame inland incidents on the locals.
All of the pollution in the region is making things more difficult than ever before in the region. Fisheries and croplands are steadily being degraded to the point where food cannot be obtained from them. And while one would think that the government would use its power to make the oil companies take better preventative measures and a greater role in the repairs, government members get the majority of their money from the oil industry, and that is where most of the money in the economy stays. The people hardly ever see any sort of direct benefit from the oil industry working in their land, and even if they did, would it outweigh the detriments?
Currently, a new development is taking place in the matter. Nigerian farmers are suing Shell in the homeland of the company, instead of in Nigeria. With some help from the Dutch branch of the environmental group Friends of the Earth, they are taking the Dutch company to court in the Netherlands, an unprecedented move, in the hopes that they will get compensation for the damage that has been caused so far and for clean up operations to be carried out. Shell is planning to base its defense on the illegal activities that damage pipelines and refineries, to escape liability in the matter. They claim to have cleaned up three locations that were damaged by spills, but if the chart on spills from the 2001 article is still relevant to current trends, that is probably only a fraction of what has actually been released into the environment. A ruling is expected early next year.
Overall, the Nigerian situation has devolved into an unpleasant system of corruption, violence, and environmental degradation. If any number of factors had been carried out differently, perhaps the situation would not be so dire: if the government had focused more on the people instead of the revenue, if the company had taken better preventative measures, or if they had taken a stance that would benefit the people more than the governing bodies, the situation would possibly be beneficial to the people of the region. But then again, considering that this story is typical of such oil prospecting in third world areas, there wasn't really much hope for such forethought. Hopefully, things will get better one day. Its just too bad that the damage will be around for longer than the company, in all likelihood.
Tuesday, October 9, 2012
A Lot of Fast Air
Cape Wind is a wind energy company started in Cape Cod, sometime around the beginning of the Millenium. Their current project has been going since then, with local and federal approval being given in 2009 and 2010, respectively. However, since 2001, an opposition group calling itself the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound was working to stop building. Another group , Clean Power Now, arose to help with grassroots support for the project, though. Both were citing environmental reasons for supporting or opposing the project, demonstrating just how polarizing the project was.
But the reasons for the debate (between the different environmentalist factions, anyway) were mostly centered around the location of the project, the Horseshoe Shoal in Nantucket Sound. But there were also other voices that came into play. Several prominent personalities have taken positions on the matter, including Bill Koch (who owns an estate in the area), who funded the Alliance with about 1.5 million, citing aesthetic and economic reasons for why the windmills shouldn't be installed. He was supposedly working under the idea that "It could undermine Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket’s $1 billion-a-year tourist industry, impair radar for boats and planes, kill birds, hurt fishermen and be an eyesore in a body of water that’s equivalent to a national park." No mention of his interest in the energy field that this would possibly conflict with, and his spokesperson said that it didn't play a factor. But when such a prominent businessman takes a role in such a conflict, its hard to think that they don't have some sort of angle. And on the matter of aesthetics, only 14 percent of Cape Cod residents opposed the project, according to a poll. Another poll also found that the class least likely to support the project were high-income residents of the area.
Another personality who played a role in the issue was Walter Cronkite, who also has a seaside property on the cape. When he first heard about the project, he was dead set against it, having a knee-jerk reaction to what he viewed as a hostile invasion of a peaceful body of water. However, he eventually had a change of heart, and in an interview said '"I must say, as [the wind farm] was presented to me, I had to clench my teeth to be sure I didn't get hysterical," Cronkite said in a phone interview. "It sounded like such a ghastly invasion of this wonderful body of water, which is Nantucket Sound. I will confess, also, that I did not do my own homework as I should have before making the statements. I did not and I can only regret that now."' His image and opinions had been used for ad campaigns for the Alliance, but after thinking about it and taking an opportunity to speak with the founder of the project, he found that the worst of his fears on the matter where not as severe in reality as he initially perceived.
The project itself is in the initial stages now, with testing being done in the area to see how the bases of the turbines should be designed to be best suited for their install locations. The project seems to be taking its time, and not rushing development, in the interest of making sure the impact is low during installation, and that accidents are not likely to happen. While they still need to get a portion of their funding together, the company is perhaps planning a bit too far ahead by beginning the process to purchase a marina that they plan to use as headquarters to manage and maintain the windfarm. However, they see it as a measure of their commitment to the project.
Only time will tell the long term effects of the project, but it seems that at least the Cape Wind company is doing what they can to try and minimize the adverse effects in both the short and long term. For the most part, it seems that those opposed to the project are either overreacting, or focusing on the wrong reasons for countering the project.
But the reasons for the debate (between the different environmentalist factions, anyway) were mostly centered around the location of the project, the Horseshoe Shoal in Nantucket Sound. But there were also other voices that came into play. Several prominent personalities have taken positions on the matter, including Bill Koch (who owns an estate in the area), who funded the Alliance with about 1.5 million, citing aesthetic and economic reasons for why the windmills shouldn't be installed. He was supposedly working under the idea that "It could undermine Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket’s $1 billion-a-year tourist industry, impair radar for boats and planes, kill birds, hurt fishermen and be an eyesore in a body of water that’s equivalent to a national park." No mention of his interest in the energy field that this would possibly conflict with, and his spokesperson said that it didn't play a factor. But when such a prominent businessman takes a role in such a conflict, its hard to think that they don't have some sort of angle. And on the matter of aesthetics, only 14 percent of Cape Cod residents opposed the project, according to a poll. Another poll also found that the class least likely to support the project were high-income residents of the area.
Another personality who played a role in the issue was Walter Cronkite, who also has a seaside property on the cape. When he first heard about the project, he was dead set against it, having a knee-jerk reaction to what he viewed as a hostile invasion of a peaceful body of water. However, he eventually had a change of heart, and in an interview said '"I must say, as [the wind farm] was presented to me, I had to clench my teeth to be sure I didn't get hysterical," Cronkite said in a phone interview. "It sounded like such a ghastly invasion of this wonderful body of water, which is Nantucket Sound. I will confess, also, that I did not do my own homework as I should have before making the statements. I did not and I can only regret that now."' His image and opinions had been used for ad campaigns for the Alliance, but after thinking about it and taking an opportunity to speak with the founder of the project, he found that the worst of his fears on the matter where not as severe in reality as he initially perceived.
The project itself is in the initial stages now, with testing being done in the area to see how the bases of the turbines should be designed to be best suited for their install locations. The project seems to be taking its time, and not rushing development, in the interest of making sure the impact is low during installation, and that accidents are not likely to happen. While they still need to get a portion of their funding together, the company is perhaps planning a bit too far ahead by beginning the process to purchase a marina that they plan to use as headquarters to manage and maintain the windfarm. However, they see it as a measure of their commitment to the project.
Only time will tell the long term effects of the project, but it seems that at least the Cape Wind company is doing what they can to try and minimize the adverse effects in both the short and long term. For the most part, it seems that those opposed to the project are either overreacting, or focusing on the wrong reasons for countering the project.
Monday, October 8, 2012
The Colder It Is, The Harder It Gets
In the summer of 2010, an oil spill unlike any before occurred in the Gulf of Mexico. The reason that the incident was so particularly disastrous was that, instead of a ship with a certain quantity of oil spilling partially purified crude on the surface of the ocean in a short period of time. Instead, a well from which the raw crude was coming out under high pressure was gushing underwater, over a period of about 12 weeks. Even after the worst of the leak has been stopped, there was still seepage coming from the well over a year later, escaping the supposedly sealed well. Since much of the oil was coming straight from the source under high pressure, denser components created a phenomenon that had been rarely, if ever, documented before: oil plumes were spreading under the water's surface, following an underwater "channel" and spreading out where it was harder to track and contain. These factors helped to make this oil "spill" one of the largest (if not the largest) in US history, with approximately 5 million barrels released into the waters of the Gulf by August of 2010. And while such a large quantity of oil being released is bad enough, it occurred in an area that was incredibly sensitive to the toxic compounds being released, and very hard to clean when the oil would slip into the swamps and estuaries of the region. Death tolls of various species are high, but many believe that there are many unaccounted for, as individuals would either be lost at sea or possibly go into the swamps where the bodies would not be found after they perished. With all of these impacts and disastrous side effects, it would seem that some sort measure would be made to actively prevent another such incident. However, the Obama administration approved for exploratory drilling to begin in a much more dangerous region: The Arctic Circle.
The Arctic Circle is a largely inhospitable region, especially on the seas. Normally, it is covered in sheets of ice, that sometimes shift and move instead of remaining a single entity. However, with recent climate change trends, the ice of the region has receded further than ever before during the warmer months, and oil companies have moved to try and capitalize on the newly accessible waters, in the hopes of drilling for portions of the supposedly sizable quantity of petroleum that was formerly sealed beneath the region.While the UK has deigned to stop all such activity until at the very least, a system to deal with an accident could be established, the US is allowing for prep work to be done while security measures are developed, with the mindset of preventing an incident like the Deepwater Horizon spill in the gulf. However, if an accident occurs in the Arctic, it will be due to novel causes more likely than not. The sea ice in the region is the most significant factor, being more than a barrier to initial drilling. When the sea freezes back over, the ice will sometimes move in an inexorable fashion, capable of doing extreme damage simply because it moves slowly and can't be redirected (similar to a glacier). Also, apparently, the ice can get "so tall that it scrapes the sea floor," posing a particular danger to the drill site, at the lowest point, where it is hardest to get at and repair. There is also the factor of how thick crude oil gets when exposed to extreme cold, which is standard for the region. This can create a problem with oil flow, causing pressure issues or flow problems. There are various compounds that can be used to counteract the issue of decreased viscosity, but that just adds another risk factor in terms of possible pollutants. Who knows? Maybe they are capable of damaging an organism's fat layer, which would be sure death in a region as cold as the Arctic.
Besides the risk of a spill occurring, the response to clean and fix an incident would run into all sorts of problems due to the fact that the rig would be rather far from land, especially considering that ports would usually be even further away from that, probably in regions where the ice doesn't bind all the boats in the winter. But an accident at a rig in the Arctic Circle would most likely occur at a time of year when support ships won't be able to reach it due to ice and the rough winter weather waters of unfrozen portions. Then there's the matter of how much oil would be on top of the ice, compared to under. I'm sure that even less oil would be recovered, and more allowed to escape if there were a spill in the arctic. Considering how difficult the environment already is to live in, there could be a possibility of the already rather sparse ecosystem disappearing altogether if a leak or spill were to take place in the region. Even the migratory whales would likely suffer buildup of toxins from the spill, as they consume vast quantities of plankton and krill, which are bound to have had some interaction with them. And while the effect of these disappearances would be difficult to figure out before they happen, I would rather not have to find out the hard way.
Deepwater drilling is difficult enough as it is, but due to the dwindling supplies of petroleum in easy to access regions, oil companies are forced to look to alternatives... which, one would hope, would include alternative energy sources to develop, instead of risky drilling locations, but no such luck on the whole.
Extra links:
http://article.wn.com/view/2012/09/05/BP_says_old_oil_from_spill_exposed_by_Isaac/
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0001451.html
http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/energy/offshore-drilling.htm
The Arctic Circle is a largely inhospitable region, especially on the seas. Normally, it is covered in sheets of ice, that sometimes shift and move instead of remaining a single entity. However, with recent climate change trends, the ice of the region has receded further than ever before during the warmer months, and oil companies have moved to try and capitalize on the newly accessible waters, in the hopes of drilling for portions of the supposedly sizable quantity of petroleum that was formerly sealed beneath the region.While the UK has deigned to stop all such activity until at the very least, a system to deal with an accident could be established, the US is allowing for prep work to be done while security measures are developed, with the mindset of preventing an incident like the Deepwater Horizon spill in the gulf. However, if an accident occurs in the Arctic, it will be due to novel causes more likely than not. The sea ice in the region is the most significant factor, being more than a barrier to initial drilling. When the sea freezes back over, the ice will sometimes move in an inexorable fashion, capable of doing extreme damage simply because it moves slowly and can't be redirected (similar to a glacier). Also, apparently, the ice can get "so tall that it scrapes the sea floor," posing a particular danger to the drill site, at the lowest point, where it is hardest to get at and repair. There is also the factor of how thick crude oil gets when exposed to extreme cold, which is standard for the region. This can create a problem with oil flow, causing pressure issues or flow problems. There are various compounds that can be used to counteract the issue of decreased viscosity, but that just adds another risk factor in terms of possible pollutants. Who knows? Maybe they are capable of damaging an organism's fat layer, which would be sure death in a region as cold as the Arctic.
Besides the risk of a spill occurring, the response to clean and fix an incident would run into all sorts of problems due to the fact that the rig would be rather far from land, especially considering that ports would usually be even further away from that, probably in regions where the ice doesn't bind all the boats in the winter. But an accident at a rig in the Arctic Circle would most likely occur at a time of year when support ships won't be able to reach it due to ice and the rough winter weather waters of unfrozen portions. Then there's the matter of how much oil would be on top of the ice, compared to under. I'm sure that even less oil would be recovered, and more allowed to escape if there were a spill in the arctic. Considering how difficult the environment already is to live in, there could be a possibility of the already rather sparse ecosystem disappearing altogether if a leak or spill were to take place in the region. Even the migratory whales would likely suffer buildup of toxins from the spill, as they consume vast quantities of plankton and krill, which are bound to have had some interaction with them. And while the effect of these disappearances would be difficult to figure out before they happen, I would rather not have to find out the hard way.
Deepwater drilling is difficult enough as it is, but due to the dwindling supplies of petroleum in easy to access regions, oil companies are forced to look to alternatives... which, one would hope, would include alternative energy sources to develop, instead of risky drilling locations, but no such luck on the whole.
Extra links:
http://article.wn.com/view/2012/09/05/BP_says_old_oil_from_spill_exposed_by_Isaac/
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0001451.html
http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/energy/offshore-drilling.htm
Wednesday, October 3, 2012
Fracking and Flights of Fancy (or Fear)
I have a friend who actually lives on an area of the Pennsylvanian Marcellus Shale. They have told me a little bit about what it is like to live in an area where there are various drilling operations going on at the same time. They are an eyesore, and the work is unpleasant to most senses. These are qualities that are not unique among various construction and natural resource collection jobs. However, they told me about a particular aspect of the fracking in the area that negates one of the biggest points that companies try to say is not a risk. The water on their land comes from a well, a source of what should be clean, underground water, without contamination due to filtering as it reaches the water table, and usually free of infestations. Fracking is often claimed to not prove a risk to groundwater, due to the depth of the wells and the many layers of rock supposedly providing a barrier to prevent easy contamination of water, and their supposedly effective well casings and safety protocols. But my friend has told me, from personal experience, that they have been able to light the water coming out of their tap ON FIRE due to the amount of methane that has managed to get into their well from the fracking activities. Perhaps there is a missed element of determining cause and effect in this situation. However, considering that methane is a flammable gas, that is to some degree soluble in water, and being released in abundant quantities from sequestration in the ground, the evidence paints a rather easily convincing story.
While it is known that America is trying to find ways to pre-empt the energy crisis going critical, they seem to be taking part in practices that are perhaps more dangerous than the sum of their parts with fracking. While methane does burn cleaner than typical gasoline, any methane that escapes and makes it into the atmosphere is a far more effective greenhouse gas than CO2, which is also released in surprisingly large quantities during the acquisition practices of the companies extracting the methane from the earth. And while methane may not last as long in the atmosphere as CO2 before it is removed through natural processes, it lasts long enough that it would play a role in the possibly upcoming "tipping point" that some expect will rock the global climate within the next few decades. Meanwhile, underground, the weakened rock left behind has to be supported somehow, or there is a high risk of something collapsing and taking some surface features with it. This leads to waste elements being used to help make up for the weakened structural integrity of the now broken and shattered stone. Commonly, waste water (complete with unknown, possibly toxic chemicals) from the project is injected under high pressure to kill two birds with one stone. However, the wells are sometimes used for carbon sequestration, and there are even some points that could prompt a shift from the use of water to CO2 gas in fracking operations, which would help reduce the usage of water that could otherwise be used for drinking water. Either case, however, seems to increase the risk of small earthquakes being generated. While the earthquakes that seem to be linked with fracking and carbon sequestration activities don't typically register as being particularly dangerous, I can think of a few situations which, while unlikely, have a certain level of high danger that might be worth considering.
First, I'll keep it relatively simple. With all of the structural damage to a layer of sturdy rock done by fracking, it has to be prone to shifting, either from the weight above it settling, or from small natural quakes. If there were enough wells spread out over an area, but close enough where such shifting manages to extend the cracks in the rock to meet with the cracks from another well, a large network of unstable sub-bedrock will be generated, and some sort of large stimulus could manage to turn it into some sort of collapse or large scale shifting/rearrangement, which could cause a "butterfly effect" type incident to occur on the surface, like a drop in land height, or other sudden changes in topography. Then again, considering the depths of such shale beds, perhaps the intervening layers of stone would provide a buffer region that would absorb any such risks.
The other situation that springs into my mind on the subject of hypothetical and possibly ludicrous situations, is the possibility that the well wasn't completely exhausted, or that there might be a couple of reservoirs of gas that escaped notice and extraction. If enough gas was still permeating the stone, and a shift in the ground occurred, would it be liable to ignite (given a possible sparking element being set off during the tremor/shift) and explode? Most likely not, given that the main factor in such a reaction is oxygen, to provide the necessary component for the combustion reaction. Unless there was some severe mix-up or an exceedingly bad compression system, there would most likely be no oxygen for such an event to occur. But hey, there could always be the day, where the CO2 reacts with one of the unknown chemicals left behind from an operation, and produces the O2 needed for the worst case scenario here. And even if it is unlikely, maybe it is right on some level. If that is the case, I do hope that it occurs as another unnoticed oddity of geology, or someone will most likely be hurt.
While it is known that America is trying to find ways to pre-empt the energy crisis going critical, they seem to be taking part in practices that are perhaps more dangerous than the sum of their parts with fracking. While methane does burn cleaner than typical gasoline, any methane that escapes and makes it into the atmosphere is a far more effective greenhouse gas than CO2, which is also released in surprisingly large quantities during the acquisition practices of the companies extracting the methane from the earth. And while methane may not last as long in the atmosphere as CO2 before it is removed through natural processes, it lasts long enough that it would play a role in the possibly upcoming "tipping point" that some expect will rock the global climate within the next few decades. Meanwhile, underground, the weakened rock left behind has to be supported somehow, or there is a high risk of something collapsing and taking some surface features with it. This leads to waste elements being used to help make up for the weakened structural integrity of the now broken and shattered stone. Commonly, waste water (complete with unknown, possibly toxic chemicals) from the project is injected under high pressure to kill two birds with one stone. However, the wells are sometimes used for carbon sequestration, and there are even some points that could prompt a shift from the use of water to CO2 gas in fracking operations, which would help reduce the usage of water that could otherwise be used for drinking water. Either case, however, seems to increase the risk of small earthquakes being generated. While the earthquakes that seem to be linked with fracking and carbon sequestration activities don't typically register as being particularly dangerous, I can think of a few situations which, while unlikely, have a certain level of high danger that might be worth considering.
First, I'll keep it relatively simple. With all of the structural damage to a layer of sturdy rock done by fracking, it has to be prone to shifting, either from the weight above it settling, or from small natural quakes. If there were enough wells spread out over an area, but close enough where such shifting manages to extend the cracks in the rock to meet with the cracks from another well, a large network of unstable sub-bedrock will be generated, and some sort of large stimulus could manage to turn it into some sort of collapse or large scale shifting/rearrangement, which could cause a "butterfly effect" type incident to occur on the surface, like a drop in land height, or other sudden changes in topography. Then again, considering the depths of such shale beds, perhaps the intervening layers of stone would provide a buffer region that would absorb any such risks.
The other situation that springs into my mind on the subject of hypothetical and possibly ludicrous situations, is the possibility that the well wasn't completely exhausted, or that there might be a couple of reservoirs of gas that escaped notice and extraction. If enough gas was still permeating the stone, and a shift in the ground occurred, would it be liable to ignite (given a possible sparking element being set off during the tremor/shift) and explode? Most likely not, given that the main factor in such a reaction is oxygen, to provide the necessary component for the combustion reaction. Unless there was some severe mix-up or an exceedingly bad compression system, there would most likely be no oxygen for such an event to occur. But hey, there could always be the day, where the CO2 reacts with one of the unknown chemicals left behind from an operation, and produces the O2 needed for the worst case scenario here. And even if it is unlikely, maybe it is right on some level. If that is the case, I do hope that it occurs as another unnoticed oddity of geology, or someone will most likely be hurt.
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